Former President Donald J. Trump has won Michigan, according to The Associated Press, defeating Vice President Kamala Harris in a closely divided Midwestern state.
Mr. Trump, who won Michigan in 2016, wrested it back this year, ending a brief streak of Democratic dominance in a state that helped elect President Biden in 2020 and where Democrats have full control of state government.
In the final New York Times/Siena College polls, voters in Michigan and nationally named the economy as their most important issue, and Mr. Trump benefited from widespread frustration with high prices, even as inflation has cooled.
Polls and interviews had also shown signs of erosion in Democratic support among several traditionally Democratic-leaning groups in Michigan, including Black voters and Arab American and Muslim voters.
Mr. Trump sought to make inroads with those voters, sometimes exploiting racial divisions in the process. Despite his long history of racist attacks and the fact that he blocked citizens of predominantly Muslim countries from entering the United States, there were signs he had gained some traction, especially among men.
The conflict in the Middle East was especially difficult for Ms. Harris to navigate in Michigan, which is home to many Arab American and Muslim voters angered by the Biden-Harris administration’s support for Israel in the war in Gaza.
Some Democrats warned of the potential for an underperformance with some Jewish voters, too, who saw the Democratic Party as too critical of Israel after the Hamas-led attacks on Oct. 7, 2023.
Ms. Harris, for her part, sought to hold together a broad and unwieldy coalition that had come together in the past to oppose Mr. Trump.
She spent Sunday in Michigan, speaking at a Black church, visiting a barbershop, headlining a rally at Michigan State University and emphasizing her desire for a speedy end to the war in Gaza.
Throughout her campaign, Ms. Harris also extended a hand to independent and Trump-weary Republican voters in the state and nationally.
She secured the support of several former Republican lawmakers, and held an event with former Representative Liz Cheney, the conservative Trump critic, in suburban Detroit.
At her Sunday rally, Ms. Harris applauded those “Republicans who have never voted for a Democrat before but have put the Constitution of the United States above party.”
But ultimately Mr. Trump persuaded enough of his fellow Republicans — and potentially some from outside the traditional G.O.P. tent — to stick with him once more.
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